Like the way in which every human being needs two legs to
stand on and enjoy unhindered mobility, forex trading is a concept which is
supported by two legs as well namely fundamental and technical analysis.
Therefore, for a forex investment to
remain standing even in volatile conditions, both its arms of analysis need to
work in tandem with each other as even the slightest bit of weakening in one
could lead to a devastating financial loss.
Analysis is the foundation stone of forex trading and all
traders, irrespective of whether they indulge in self trading or act in
capacity of forex managed accounts
providers rely on analysis for making forex
investing decisions. Venturing out into this vast global market without
having referred to any kind of analysis is akin to descending in a battlefield
without being fully equipped with a shield or armor for protection. Therein
lays the importance of analysis and the urgency on behalf of the trader to
cultivate an in-depth understanding pertaining to its various components.
In the forex market analysis is of three types –
fundamental, technical and sentimental, of which it is the first two which play
a seminal role in determining the fate of forex
investment. Both are completely distinct from each other and contribute
towards the devising of trading strategies in their own different ways – a fact
which is acknowledged by experienced traders, forex experts and managed forex accounts providers alike.
Another fact which is agreed upon by seasoned traders is that the best way to
understand the difference between the two would be to learn their
characteristics which have been enumerated and explained as follows:
Technical Analysis –
·
At the mention of the term
technical analysis, the first image conjured in the mind of a trader is that of
a chart. This because the very basis of this analysis entails studying various
types of charts like price charts, line charts, bar charts and candlestick
charts.
·
These charts indicate the trends
and patterns of the market and therefore carry a lot of significance while
making a forex investment.
·
The old adage ‘History repeats
itself’ never held more true than in case of forex markets as trends in this
market have a tendency to follow the same pattern in spite of being years apart
and this is the gift of technical analysis to traders.
·
Courtesy of technical analysis,
even key support and resistance levels are indicated to traders which could
translate into huge profits or minimal losses.
·
Momentum, moving averages and
formation of a trend are some of the basic details which are provided by
technical analysis.
Fundamental Analysis –
- This
form of analysis comparatively has more long term impact on the currency
movement as many of the factors involved impact the market conditions on a
global scale.
- In
fundamental analysis, it is the supply and demand which is under the
scanner as it is a reflection of the strength of the economy, trade
balance and foreign investment. Therefore, it is one of the most important
considerations while chalking out trading strategies.
- Forex
investment is often directly influenced by periodic indicators as released
by Government and academic sources after every week or month in form of
interest rates, orders for durable goods, retail orders and so on. Keeping
track of these by forex managed
accounts providers as well as individual traders forms a part of
fundamental analysis.
- Fluctuations
in interest rated and their after-effects influence currency movements
which is why they should be borne in mind while formulating trading plans.
- International
trade is an indicator of currency movement and therefore an essential
aspect of fundamental analysis.
Although there are strong advocates of both forms of
analysis, a wise trader is the one who relies on both technical as well as
fundamental analysis while trading. Historical events have been profound proof
of the fact that extremism has always resulted in downfall and forex trade is
no exception to this rule. Hence, instead of using only one form and gaining a
lop-sided view of the market, it is better to use both and gain a panoramic
scene.
On practical terms, assume that a trader wakes up one day to
find a miraculous trading opportunity which appears to be extremely promising
financially. Checking all the charts which technical analysis comprises of
confirms his belief that it is indeed a lucrative trading opportunity which
knocks only once. In his excitement, the trader fails to check the fundamental analysis
indicators relevant to the situation and invests a lion’s share into the
currency pair. The first surprise is when the trend starts reversing all of a
sudden and this is soon replaced by the jolt that the major reversal in trend
is due to some political or economic upheaval in some other corner of the
world, like the tsunami in Japan.
Thus the entire investment goes down the drain – a situation which could have
been avoided had the fundamental analysis been taken into account before
placing the order.
All traders and managed
forex accounts providers must remember that in forex investing too much of anything is never favorable and that
both technical and fundamental analysis has its own importance.